India and Brazil Ink Critical Minerals Pact to De-Risk Tech Supply Chains
India and Brazil have signed a landmark Memorandum of Understanding on rare earths and critical minerals to diversify supply chains away from China. The agreement, signed by PM Modi and President Lula, targets exploration, processing, and refining to support high-tech industries including electronics, clean energy, and defense.
Mentioned
Key Intelligence
Key Facts
- 1China currently accounts for nearly 90% of India's rare earth and critical mineral imports.
- 2Only 30% of Brazil's substantial critical mineral reserves have been explored to date.
- 3India and Brazil have set a revised bilateral trade target of $30 billion by the year 2030.
- 4Current bilateral trade between the two nations stands at approximately $15.21 billion.
- 5A total of nine agreements were signed, covering mining, steel, AI, and defense cooperation.
- 6Brazil is extending business visas for Indian ordinary passport holders to 10 years to facilitate trade.
Who's Affected
Analysis
The strategic partnership between India and Brazil has reached a critical inflection point with the signing of a Memorandum of Understanding (MoU) focused on rare earth elements and critical minerals. This development is a direct response to the global necessity for supply chain diversification, particularly as India seeks to reduce its overwhelming 90% import dependence on China for these essential materials. By aligning with Brazil, a nation that holds vast but largely untapped mineral wealth, India is positioning itself to secure the raw materials necessary for its ambitious transition into a high-tech manufacturing hub and the world’s fourth-largest economy.
Brazil’s role in this partnership is defined by its massive, under-explored reserves. President Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva highlighted that only 30% of Brazil’s critical mineral potential has been explored to date. For India, this represents a significant opportunity to move beyond mere procurement and into the realms of joint exploration, mining, and high-end processing. The collaboration is expected to strengthen the entire value chain, from initial extraction to the recycling and refining of minerals used in semiconductors, electric vehicle batteries, and advanced electronics. This shift is not just about resource security; it is about building a resilient industrial base that can withstand geopolitical shocks and trade volatility.
Furthermore, the two nations have set an ambitious bilateral trade target of $30 billion by 2030, up from the current $15.21 billion.
Industry experts, including Rishabh Jain from the Council on Energy, Environment and Water (CEEW), suggest that while India has pursued similar engagements with the United States and the European Union, these 'Global South' alliances are uniquely critical. While Western partnerships often focus on technology transfer and financing, the India-Brazil deal provides direct, on-ground access to physical resources. This dual-track strategy—securing high-end technology from the West and raw materials from the Global South—is becoming the blueprint for emerging economies looking to navigate the increasingly fragmented landscape of global trade.
Beyond minerals, the bilateral relationship is expanding into high-value manufacturing and technology. The recent announcement of a partnership between Brazilian aerospace giant Embraer and India’s Adani Group to manufacture aircraft in India serves as a prime example of this deepening industrial synergy. Furthermore, the two nations have set an ambitious bilateral trade target of $30 billion by 2030, up from the current $15.21 billion. This growth is supported by a broader suite of nine agreements covering steel supply chains, sustainable aviation fuel (SAF), and cutting-edge technologies like artificial intelligence and blockchain.
The implications for the retail and e-commerce sectors are indirect but profound. As India secures more stable and diversified sources for the components used in consumer electronics and clean energy products, the long-term volatility in manufacturing costs may decrease. This stability is essential for the e-commerce ecosystem, which relies on a steady supply of affordable hardware and a robust logistics infrastructure powered by emerging energy technologies. As both nations face global economic headwinds and the lingering effects of trade tariffs, this alliance offers a strategic buffer, reinforcing their roles as leaders of the Global South and key architects of a more multipolar global trade system.
Timeline
Initial Trade Targets
PM Modi visits Brasilia and sets an initial $20 billion bilateral trade target.
Aerospace Partnership
Embraer and Adani Group announce plans to build aircraft in India.
AI Impact Summit
President Lula addresses the AI Impact Summit in Delhi, calling for global governance.
Critical Minerals MoU
India and Brazil sign the rare earths and critical minerals pact in New Delhi.